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News

Autumn Statement: Cebr’s Immediate Review
November 22, 2023

“The Chancellor has delivered an Autumn Statement that rightly focuses on tackling the UK’s main economic problem, stagnant long-term growth. The only way to sustainably do so is to improve the productive capacity of the economy. Policies such as permanent full expensing of capital allowances and R&D tax credit reform represent a strong forward step

EL CEO – 2023 llegará con una recesión mundial ante lucha contra la inflación: CEBR
December 28, 2022

El Centro de Investigación Económica y Empresarial (CEBR, por sus siglas en inglés) pronostica que para 2023 la economía mundial deberá afrontar una recesión debido a que diversas economías se contraerán por las medidas implementadas para combatir la inflación. Durante 2022 la economía mundial superó los 100 billones de dólares, sin embargo, para el próximo año se estancaría a

The Business Standard – Bangladesh projected to be 20th largest economy by 2037
December 28, 2022

Bangladesh’s long-term outlook looks brighter as a leading London-based think tank projects the country to become the 20th largest economy out of 191 countries by 2037, owing to its macroeconomic stability, strong remittance flows and a robust export market. The Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR) last year projected that Bangladesh would become the

Fortune India – Global inflation to remain ‘front and centre’ in 2023 as well: CEBR
December 28, 2022

The battle against inflation is not won yet. The fact that core inflation rates, which strip out volatile food and energy prices, have crept up across developed economies, says a CEBR report. Though price growth deceleration has started to happen in some economies, there still remains volatility in global energy markets and entrenched core inflation

The Economic Times – India to become $10-trillion economy by 2035: CEBR
December 28, 2022

India will become the third economic superpower by 2037 and a $10-trillion economy by 2035, Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR), a leading London-based consultancy, has said. Published on Monday, the report said the world is moving towards recession. However, over the next five years, the annual rate of India’s GDP growth is expected

The Telegraph – Britain will stagnate on world stage after Jeremy Hunt tax raid, warns CEBR
December 28, 2022

Long-term damage will derail growth that would have seen UK overtake Germany, consultancy warns Jeremy Hunt’s tax raid will leave Britain stagnating on the world stage, according to new analysis that shows the Chancellor’s attack on aspiration will leave the country languishing behind other economies for the next two decades. The Centre for Economics and

Bloomberg – World Economy Is Headed for a Recession in 2023, Researcher Says
December 28, 2022

High interest rates take a toll as inflation remains a threat China not forecast to pass US as largest economy until 2036 The world faces a recession in 2023 as higher borrowing costs aimed at tackling inflation cause a number of economies to contract, according to the Centre for Economics and Business Research. The global

iNews – Brexit hopes of faster growth than EU dashed as UK economy downgraded due to political turmoil and tax hike
December 28, 2022

The Centre for Economic and Business Research said the UK would grow slower than expected but remain the world’s sixth-largest economy Post-Brexit hopes that Britain could grow its economy faster than the rest of Europe will be dashed because of turmoil in Westminster and the need for “much higher taxes”, a leading think-tank has warned. The Centre

The Times – China’s growth knocked off course by Covid lockdowns
December 28, 2022

China is not expected to overtake the United States as the world’s biggest economy until 2036 after repeated coronavirus lockdowns stifled growth in the country, forecasts show. Two years ago, China was expected to overtake the US by 2028. Last year, the forecast was delayed until 2030 and now the Centre for Economics and Business

World Economic League Table 2023
December 26, 2022

A world economic league table with forecasts for 191 countries to 2037. The latest edition, WELT 2023, comes at a time of significant change in the world order and heightened global economic uncertainty. It is Cebr’s 14th annual world economic outlook report.

Article in The Spectator by Douglas McWilliams
June 22, 2020

View the full article here.   Fact check: are Britain’s wealthiest really paying just 20 per cent tax?   Since the turn of the century the share of income tax paid by the 1 per cent with the highest incomes has risen from 21 per cent to 30 per cent. Despite this, some academics claim that the

Article by Douglas McWilliams for the Daily Mail – Targeted tax cuts, a boost for tech and 50 years to pay off our corona debt… one expert’s view on how to get Britain back to work
June 11, 2020

By DOUG MCWILLIAMS FOR THE DAILY MAIL View the full article here   The economy has started to recover from the depths that it plumbed during the lockdown.   But according to the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, Britain still faces the deepest recession in the developed world this year.   And it looks likely

Report by Cebr Founder Douglas McWilliams published in Reaction Life
May 22, 2020

The published report can be found here.  When the pandemic comes to an end, the Chancellor’s problems may be just beginning   A couple of years ago I highlighted the role of the ‘lifestyle economy’ where people were increasingly becoming musicians (up 80% since 2004), artists (up 121%), fitness instructors (up 144%) or moving into

Cebr awarded 1st place in the Forex forecasting category of this year’s Focus Economics Analyst Forecasting Awards
May 21, 2020

We’re pleased to announce that Cebr has been awarded 1st place in the Forex forecasting category of this year’s Focus Economics Analyst Forecasting Awards.   It’s the second year running that Cebr has won one of the awards which recognise the most accurate economic forecasters for the key macroeconomic indicators in 89 countries and for

Economist Douglas McWilliams: Getting Out of the Hole
April 21, 2020

The need to distance ourselves from each other socially and at work because of the Covid 19 virus has shattered our economies which are now suffering their worst hits since the 1930s. While it is true that online shopping and working from home have cushioned the shutdown, my colleagues at Cebr have estimated that the

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